first tests for Neighbors2 after debug; TODO: some missing forecasts

[talweg.git] / reports / report.ipynb

diff --git a/reports/report.ipynb b/reports/report.ipynb
index 74d6880..899fbf6 100644 (file)
--- a/reports/report.ipynb
+++ b/reports/report.ipynb
@@ -2,7 +2,10 @@
  "cells": [
   {
    "cell_type": "markdown",
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "source": [
     "\n",
     "\n",
@@ -29,24 +32,32 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "library(talweg)\n",
     "\n",
     "ts_data = read.csv(system.file(\"extdata\",\"pm10_mesures_H_loc_report.csv\",package=\"talweg\"))\n",
     "exo_data = read.csv(system.file(\"extdata\",\"meteo_extra_noNAs.csv\",package=\"talweg\"))\n",
-    "data = getData(ts_data, exo_data, input_tz = \"Europe/Paris\", working_tz=\"Europe/Paris\",\n",
-    "\tpredict_at=7) #predict from P+1 to P+H included\n",
+    "# Predict from P+1 to P+H included\n",
+    "H = 17\n",
+    "data = getData(ts_data, exo_data, input_tz = \"GMT\", working_tz=\"GMT\", predict_at=7)\n",
     "\n",
     "indices_ch = seq(as.Date(\"2015-01-18\"),as.Date(\"2015-01-24\"),\"days\")\n",
     "indices_ep = seq(as.Date(\"2015-03-15\"),as.Date(\"2015-03-21\"),\"days\")\n",
-    "indices_np = seq(as.Date(\"2015-04-26\"),as.Date(\"2015-05-02\"),\"days\")\n"
+    "indices_np = seq(as.Date(\"2015-04-26\"),as.Date(\"2015-05-02\"),\"days\")"
    ]
   },
   {
    "cell_type": "markdown",
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "source": [
     "\n",
     "\n",
@@ -56,23 +67,47 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
-    "p_nn_exo = computeForecast(data, indices_ch, \"Neighbors\", \"Neighbors\",\n",
-    "\thorizon=3, simtype=\"exo\")\n",
-    "p_nn_mix = computeForecast(data, indices_ch, \"Neighbors\", \"Neighbors\",\n",
-    "\thorizon=3, simtype=\"mix\")\n",
-    "p_az = computeForecast(data, indices_ch, \"Average\", \"Zero\",\n",
-    "\thorizon=3)\n",
-    "p_pz = computeForecast(data, indices_ch, \"Persistence\", \"Zero\",\n",
-    "\thorizon=3, same_day=TRUE)"
+    "reload(\"../pkg\")\n",
+    "p1 = computeForecast(data, indices_ch, \"Neighbors\", \"Zero\", horizon=H, simtype=\"exo\")\n",
+    "p2 = computeForecast(data, indices_ch, \"Neighbors\", \"Zero\", horizon=H, simtype=\"endo\")\n",
+    "p3 = computeForecast(data, indices_ch, \"Neighbors\", \"Zero\", horizon=H, simtype=\"mix\")\n",
+    "p4 = computeForecast(data, indices_ch, \"Neighbors2\", \"Zero\", horizon=H, simtype=\"exo\")\n",
+    "p5 = computeForecast(data, indices_ch, \"Neighbors2\", \"Zero\", horizon=H, simtype=\"endo\")\n",
+    "p6 = computeForecast(data, indices_ch, \"Neighbors2\", \"Zero\", horizon=H, simtype=\"mix\")\n"
+   ]
+  },
+  {
+   "cell_type": "code",
+   "execution_count": null,
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false
+   },
+   "outputs": [],
+   "source": [
+    "e1 = computeError(data, p1, H)\n",
+    "e2 = computeError(data, p2, H)\n",
+    "e3 = computeError(data, p3, H)\n",
+    "e4 = computeError(data, p4, H)\n",
+    "e5 = computeError(data, p5, H)\n",
+    "e6 = computeError(data, p6, H)\n",
+    "plotError(list(e1,e2,e3,e4,e5,e6), cols=c(1,2,colors()[258], 4,5,6))"
    ]
   },
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "e_nn_exo = computeError(data, p_nn_exo, 3)\n",
@@ -91,7 +126,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "options(repr.plot.width=9, repr.plot.height=4)\n",
@@ -112,7 +151,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "par(mfrow=c(1,2))\n",
@@ -126,7 +169,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "par(mfrow=c(1,2))\n",
@@ -140,7 +187,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "par(mfrow=c(1,2))\n",
@@ -156,7 +207,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "par(mfrow=c(1,2))\n",
@@ -172,7 +227,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "# Fenêtres sélectionnées dans ]0,10] / endo à gauche, exo à droite\n",
@@ -185,7 +244,10 @@
   },
   {
    "cell_type": "markdown",
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "source": [
     "\n",
     "\n",
@@ -195,7 +257,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "p_nn_exo = computeForecast(data, indices_ep, \"Neighbors\", \"Neighbors\",\n",
@@ -211,7 +277,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "e_nn_exo = computeError(data, p_nn_exo, 3)\n",
@@ -230,7 +300,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "options(repr.plot.width=9, repr.plot.height=4)\n",
@@ -251,7 +325,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "par(mfrow=c(1,2))\n",
@@ -265,7 +343,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "par(mfrow=c(1,2))\n",
@@ -279,7 +361,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "par(mfrow=c(1,2))\n",
@@ -295,7 +381,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "par(mfrow=c(1,2))\n",
@@ -311,7 +401,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "# Fenêtres sélectionnées dans ]0,10] / endo à gauche, exo à droite\n",
@@ -324,7 +418,10 @@
   },
   {
    "cell_type": "markdown",
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "source": [
     "\n",
     "\n",
@@ -334,7 +431,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "p_nn_exo = computeForecast(data, indices_np, \"Neighbors\", \"Neighbors\",\n",
@@ -350,7 +451,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "e_nn_exo = computeError(data, p_nn_exo, 3)\n",
@@ -369,7 +474,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "options(repr.plot.width=9, repr.plot.height=4)\n",
@@ -390,7 +499,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "par(mfrow=c(1,2))\n",
@@ -404,7 +517,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "par(mfrow=c(1,2))\n",
@@ -418,7 +535,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "par(mfrow=c(1,2))\n",
@@ -434,7 +555,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "par(mfrow=c(1,2))\n",
@@ -450,7 +575,11 @@
   {
    "cell_type": "code",
    "execution_count": null,
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "collapsed": false,
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "outputs": [],
    "source": [
     "# Fenêtres sélectionnées dans ]0,10] / endo à gauche, exo à droite\n",
@@ -463,7 +592,10 @@
   },
   {
    "cell_type": "markdown",
-   "metadata": {},
+   "metadata": {
+    "deletable": true,
+    "editable": true
+   },
    "source": [
     "\n",
     "\n",