[aggexp.git] / README.md

# Experts aggregation for air quality forecasting

Joint work with [Jean-Michel Poggi](http://www.math.u-psud.fr/~poggi/) and [Bruno Portier](http://lmi2.insa-rouen.fr/~bportier/)

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This project gathers public material of a contract with [AirNormand](http://www.airnormand.fr/), located in Normandie (France). 
This institute is in charge of monitoring and forecasting the air quality in its region.

Several forecasting models are available, but it is difficult to choose one and discard the others, because 
the performances vary significantly over time. 
Therefore, the main goal of our study is to experiment several rules of experts (sequential) aggregation, and 
compare the performances against individual forecasters and some oracles.

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TODO: modify, public presentation...
For aditional details, have a look at the short paper and slides in "communication/" folder. 
They were presented at the Journées de Statistique, in Lille, France (2015).

The final report can be found at [this location](http://www.airnormand.fr/Publications/Publications-telechargeables/Rapports-d-etudes)
Commit	Line	Data
a961f8a1 BA	1	# Experts aggregation for air quality forecasting
	2
	3	Joint work with [Jean-Michel Poggi](http://www.math.u-psud.fr/~poggi/) and [Bruno Portier](http://lmi2.insa-rouen.fr/~bportier/)
	4
	5	---
	6
	7	This project gathers public material of a contract with [AirNormand](http://www.airnormand.fr/), located in Normandie (France).
	8	This institute is in charge of monitoring and forecasting the air quality in its region.
	9
	10	Several forecasting models are available, but it is difficult to choose one and discard the others, because
	11	the performances vary significantly over time.
	12	Therefore, the main goal of our study is to experiment several rules of experts (sequential) aggregation, and
	13	compare the performances against individual forecasters and some oracles.
	14
	15	---
	16
	17	TODO: modify, public presentation...
	18	For aditional details, have a look at the short paper and slides in "communication/" folder.
	19	They were presented at the Journées de Statistique, in Lille, France (2015).
	20
	21	The final report can be found at [this location](http://www.airnormand.fr/Publications/Publications-telechargeables/Rapports-d-etudes)