X-Git-Url: https://git.auder.net/?p=talweg.git;a=blobdiff_plain;f=pkg%2FR%2FF_Neighbors.R;h=ac0df0414c7f79ef671d9e8dd62b4fe13286b2b7;hp=43a6a13a1d82d7d15d7ec9c6519aeb1084f9309c;hb=25b75559e2d9bf84e2de35b851d93fefdae36e17;hpb=66877df35f2fc9561728537c713c963230b0de45 diff --git a/pkg/R/F_Neighbors.R b/pkg/R/F_Neighbors.R index 43a6a13..ac0df04 100644 --- a/pkg/R/F_Neighbors.R +++ b/pkg/R/F_Neighbors.R @@ -1,18 +1,13 @@ #' @include Forecaster.R #' -#' @title Neighbors Forecaster +#' Neighbors Forecaster #' -#' @description Predict tomorrow as a weighted combination of "futures of the past" days. -#' Inherits \code{\link{Forecaster}} -NeighborsForecaster = setRefClass( - Class = "NeighborsForecaster", - contains = "Forecaster", - - methods = list( - initialize = function(...) - { - callSuper(...) - }, +#' Predict tomorrow as a weighted combination of "futures of the past" days. +#' Inherits \code{\link{Forecaster}} +NeighborsForecaster = R6::R6Class("NeighborsForecaster", + inherit = "Forecaster", + + public = list( predictShape = function(today, memory, horizon, ...) { # (re)initialize computed parameters @@ -24,33 +19,6 @@ NeighborsForecaster = setRefClass( if (hasArg(h_window)) return (.predictShapeAux(fdays,today,horizon,list(...)$h_window,kernel,simtype,TRUE)) - # HACK for test reports: complete some days with a few NAs, for nicer graphics - nas_in_serie = is.na(data$getSerie(today)) - if (any(nas_in_serie)) - { - if (sum(nas_in_serie) >= length(nas_in_serie) / 2) - return (NA) - for (i in seq_along(nas_in_serie)) - { - if (nas_in_serie[i]) - { - #look left - left = i-1 - while (left>=1 && nas_in_serie[left]) - left = left-1 - #look right - right = i+1 - while (right<=length(nas_in_serie) && nas_in_serie[right]) - right = right+1 - #HACK: modify by-reference Data object... - data$data[[today]]$serie[i] <<- - if (left==0) data$data[[today]]$serie[right] - else if (right==0) data$data[[today]]$serie[left] - else (data$data[[today]]$serie[left] + data$data[[today]]$serie[right]) / 2. - } - } - } - # Determine indices of no-NAs days followed by no-NAs tomorrows first_day = max(today - memory, 1) fdays = (first_day:(today-1))[ sapply(first_day:(today-1), function(i) { @@ -92,12 +60,12 @@ NeighborsForecaster = setRefClass( h_best_mix = c(h_best_endo,h_best_exo) return (.predictShapeAux(fdays, today, horizon, h_best_mix, kernel, "mix", TRUE)) } - }, + } + ), + private = list( # Precondition: "today" is full (no NAs) .predictShapeAux = function(fdays, today, horizon, h, kernel, simtype, final_call) { - dat = data$data #HACK: faster this way... - fdays = fdays[ fdays < today ] # TODO: 3 = magic number if (length(fdays) < 3) @@ -111,7 +79,7 @@ NeighborsForecaster = setRefClass( distances2 = rep(NA, length(fdays)) for (i in seq_along(fdays)) { - delta = dat[[today]]$serie - dat[[ fdays[i] ]]$serie + delta = data$getCenteredSerie(today) - data$getCenteredSerie(fdays[i]) # Require at least half of non-NA common values to compute the distance if (sum(is.na(delta)) <= 0) #length(delta)/2) distances2[i] = mean(delta^2) #, na.rm=TRUE) @@ -134,10 +102,10 @@ NeighborsForecaster = setRefClass( { h_exo = ifelse(simtype=="mix", h[2], h) - M = matrix( nrow=1+length(fdays), ncol=1+length(dat[[today]]$exo) ) - M[1,] = c( dat[[today]]$level, as.double(dat[[today]]$exo) ) + M = matrix( nrow=1+length(fdays), ncol=1+length(data$getExo(today)) ) + M[1,] = c( data$getLevel(today), as.double(data$getExo(today)) ) for (i in seq_along(fdays)) - M[i+1,] = c( dat[[ fdays[i] ]]$level, as.double(dat[[ fdays[i] ]]$exo) ) + M[i+1,] = c( data$getLevel(fdays[i]), as.double(data$getExo(fdays[i])) ) sigma = cov(M) #NOTE: robust covariance is way too slow sigma_inv = solve(sigma) #TODO: use pseudo-inverse if needed? @@ -171,7 +139,7 @@ NeighborsForecaster = setRefClass( prediction = rep(0, horizon) for (i in seq_along(fdays_indices)) - prediction = prediction + similarities[i] * dat[[ fdays_indices[i]+1 ]]$serie[1:horizon] + prediction = prediction + similarities[i] * data$getSerie(fdays_indices[i]+1)[1:horizon] prediction = prediction / sum(similarities, na.rm=TRUE) if (final_call)