X-Git-Url: https://git.auder.net/?p=talweg.git;a=blobdiff_plain;f=pkg%2FR%2FF_Average.R;fp=pkg%2FR%2FF_Average.R;h=4d395ac3a9d3491b9fa77fcd0f29ba1b626b430c;hp=d0b40b4ba69bd50b8c3f6c65ce49b7e5a432390b;hb=af718fd5a9a330b13b331e78824a47407a3479ae;hpb=c8a81efd2e8302cde424165539f49e4bb7466fc3 diff --git a/pkg/R/F_Average.R b/pkg/R/F_Average.R index d0b40b4..4d395ac 100644 --- a/pkg/R/F_Average.R +++ b/pkg/R/F_Average.R @@ -3,9 +3,9 @@ #' Pointwise average of all the series of the same day of week in the past. #' #' For example, if the current day (argument "today") is a tuesday, then all series -#' corresponding to wednesdays in the past (until the beginning or memory limit) are -#' averaged to provide a smooth prediction. This forecast will most of the time be wrong, -#' but will also look plausible enough. +#' corresponding to tuesday in the past (until the beginning or memory limit) -- and in +#' the future if 'opera' is FALSE -- are averaged to provide a smooth prediction. This +#' forecast will most of the time be wrong, but will also look plausible enough. #' #' @usage # AverageForecaster$new(pjump) #' @@ -17,25 +17,41 @@ AverageForecaster = R6::R6Class("AverageForecaster", inherit = Forecaster, public = list( - predictShape = function(data, today, memory, horizon, ...) + predictShape = function(data, today, memory, predict_from, horizon, ...) { - avg = rep(0., horizon) + avg = rep(0., (horizon-predict_from+1)) first_day = max(1, today-memory) - index = today-7 + 1 + index <- today nb_no_na_series = 0 + opera = ifelse(hasArg("opera"), list(...)$opera, FALSE) repeat { - { - serie_on_horizon = data$getCenteredSerie(index)[1:horizon] - index = index - 7 - }; + index = index - 7 + if (index < first_day) + break + serie_on_horizon = data$getCenteredSerie(index)[predict_from:horizon] if (!any(is.na(serie_on_horizon))) { avg = avg + serie_on_horizon nb_no_na_series = nb_no_na_series + 1 - }; - if (index < first_day) - break + } + } + if (!opera) + { + # The same, in the future + index <- today + repeat + { + index = index + 7 + if (index > data$getSize()) + break + serie_on_horizon = data$getCenteredSerie(index)[predict_from:horizon] + if (!any(is.na(serie_on_horizon))) + { + avg = avg + serie_on_horizon + nb_no_na_series = nb_no_na_series + 1 + } + } } avg / nb_no_na_series }