X-Git-Url: https://git.auder.net/?a=blobdiff_plain;f=pkg%2FR%2FF_Neighbors.R;h=12595d998f82d4883069f4c02a32d458b21aaa70;hb=102bcfda4afbb5cfee885cbee0f55545624168fd;hp=9ba72b8f308fcf00ef43e99c5e968c731eac1fbe;hpb=445e7bbc18aa739ec0b3caba4d8710a9d9e1a43c;p=talweg.git diff --git a/pkg/R/F_Neighbors.R b/pkg/R/F_Neighbors.R index 9ba72b8..12595d9 100644 --- a/pkg/R/F_Neighbors.R +++ b/pkg/R/F_Neighbors.R @@ -1,9 +1,36 @@ -#' @include Forecaster.R -#' #' Neighbors Forecaster #' -#' Predict tomorrow as a weighted combination of "futures of the past" days. -#' Inherits \code{\link{Forecaster}} +#' Predict next serie as a weighted combination of "futures of the past" days, +#' where days in the past are chosen and weighted according to some similarity measures. +#' +#' The main method is \code{predictShape()}, taking arguments data, today, memory, +#' horizon respectively for the dataset (object output of \code{getData()}), the current +#' index, the data depth (in days) and the number of time steps to forecast. +#' In addition, optional arguments can be passed: +#' \itemize{ +#' \item local : TRUE (default) to constrain neighbors to be "same days within same +#' season" +#' \item simtype : 'endo' for a similarity based on the series only, +#' 'exo' for a similaruty based on exogenous variables only, +#' 'mix' for the product of 'endo' and 'exo', +#' 'none' (default) to apply a simple average: no computed weights +#' \item window : A window for similarities computations; override cross-validation +#' window estimation. +#' } +#' The method is summarized as follows: +#' \enumerate{ +#' \item Determine N (=20) recent days without missing values, and followed by a +#' tomorrow also without missing values. +#' \item Optimize the window parameters (if relevant) on the N chosen days. +#' \item Considering the optimized window, compute the neighbors (with locality +#' constraint or not), compute their similarities -- using a gaussian kernel if +#' simtype != "none" -- and average accordingly the "tomorrows of neigbors" to +#' obtain the final prediction. +#' } +#' +#' @docType class +#' @format R6 class, inherits Forecaster +#' @alias F_Neighbors #' NeighborsForecaster = R6::R6Class("NeighborsForecaster", inherit = Forecaster, @@ -55,32 +82,29 @@ NeighborsForecaster = R6::R6Class("NeighborsForecaster", } # TODO: 7 == magic number - if (simtype != "endo") - { - best_window_exo = optimize( - errorOnLastNdays, c(0,7), simtype="exo")$minimum - } - if (simtype != "exo") + if (simtype=="endo" || simtype=="mix") { best_window_endo = optimize( errorOnLastNdays, c(0,7), simtype="endo")$minimum } - - if (simtype == "endo") + if (simtype=="exo" || simtype=="mix") { - return (private$.predictShapeAux(data, fdays, today, horizon, local, - best_window_endo, "endo", TRUE)) - } - if (simtype == "exo") - { - return (private$.predictShapeAux(data, fdays, today, horizon, local, - best_window_exo, "exo", TRUE)) - } - if (simtype == "mix") - { - return(private$.predictShapeAux(data, fdays, today, horizon, local, - c(best_window_endo,best_window_exo), "mix", TRUE)) + best_window_exo = optimize( + errorOnLastNdays, c(0,7), simtype="exo")$minimum } + + best_window = + if (simtype == "endo") + best_window_endo + else if (simtype == "exo") + best_window_exo + else if (simtype == "mix") + c(best_window_endo,best_window_exo) + else #none: value doesn't matter + 1 + + return(private$.predictShapeAux(data, fdays, today, horizon, local, + best_window, simtype, TRUE)) } ), private = list( @@ -128,7 +152,7 @@ NeighborsForecaster = R6::R6Class("NeighborsForecaster", private$.params$indices <- fdays private$.params$window <- 1 } - return ( data$getSerie(fdays[1])[1:horizon] ) #what else?! + return ( data$getSerie(fdays[1])[1:horizon] ) } } else @@ -212,8 +236,10 @@ NeighborsForecaster = R6::R6Class("NeighborsForecaster", window_endo else if (simtype=="exo") window_exo - else #mix + else if (simtype=="mix") c(window_endo,window_exo) + else #none + 1 } return (prediction)